Not really. I’d be very wary lads of judging qualifiers on 1st round provincial games. Teams can clear out, or may peak at later stages etc. Offaly were under the cosh from their own people recently and a performance like that was always a possibility. Other teams throw the towel at it once Provincial glory is dashed.
Having said that i think that bet is very tempting for Wexford. Wexford have some real quality, Carlow really have Murphy. If Wexford stop him it could be carnage. Anyone know much about the rivalry? Could it have an affect on it? I doubt it myself.
[quote=“caoimhaoin, post: 600874”]Having said that i think that bet is very tempting for Wexford. Wexford have some real quality, Carlow really have Murphy. If Wexford stop him it could be carnage. Anyone know much about the rivalry? Could it have an affect on it? I doubt it myself.
[/quote]
There’s no real rivalry of note, in my opinion. We last played them in the championship in 2005 in Croke Park and won 3-12 to 2-10. We used to play them regularly in the old Division 2B or Division 4 and they actually denied us promotion from 2B back in around 2001 or 2002 when beating us in the last game. We got promoted the year after, beating them narrowly in Wexford Park in the last match. They hammered us in the championship back in the mid 1990s but these games are all distant memories. We comfortably beat them in the U21 championship earlier this year on our way to the provincial title. There’s no real genuine local rivalry - it’s only Bunclody that borders Carlow and there’s not any player that’s from a club that’s close to Carlow (unless Dylan Kehoe is still on the panel).
Runt, it means that you still win if they lose by 1 point or goal or whatever depending on the sport. Just like KIB man’s Manchester United/Spurs bet that time.
I was expecting that. I am just disappointed it was you.
By taking a +1 handicap you are obviously of the opinion that it will be a very tight game. In the Donegal game you are sacrificing half a point (6/4 to evens) to get the +1. Meanwhile the draw is 15/2.
The only time the +1 handicap will be of benefit to you is if the match is a draw, so in that case I would rather put my main bet on straight @ 6/4 with a small saver on the draw on at 15/2.
I’m reinvesting in Carlow to score more than 13.5
A speculative Kildare, Donegal, Galway treble (19/1) , and all singles aswell.
A more than 2.5 goals in Galway and dublin games double (pays 7/1 I think).
A few others for small money.
Julios nap of the day though and where the bulk of my money is, is Galway over 14.5 at 6/5
O’ Gara has averaged less than a point a game playing for dublin i heard or read recently, can’t confirm that though.
Runt, i think Donegal will come late to win, but a draw wouldn’t be a shock. If i lay them and they win i lose, i think they will win, but it will be close. Otherwise i’d go for -1 or -2 or whatever. I’m hedging my bet really.
You’re ignoring the fact that you lose your stake on the bets you lose in scenario 2. So in fact, Donegal win you win €60 - €10 = €50. Draw and you win €75 - €40 = €35. Kev wins.