Are you sure about that? Letâs do a quick check on the math.
~7% of Covid deaths in the UK are under 60, so thatâs ~9,000 deaths. Roughly 3 million tested positive in that age bracket, so if we double it for asymptomatic cases, we get an IFR of 0.15% which sounds about right based on global studies.
Do you happen to have the number of people who have died from vaccine side effects to hand? Out of the 24 million in the UK that have been vaccinated.
There seems to be a strange logic among commentators online that coming out of lockdown and then having to go back in (as some countries are doing in a regional, targeted basis) is a catastrophe but staying in one endless lockdown is ok
Yes. I donât get that myself. But Iâve heard it said that another lockdown would be the end of Micky Martin. Maybe itâs the putting the businesses to the expense of reopening and then shutting them again. Otherwise I donât know.
Business cost, political capital, public mood/compliance, not to mention if things spike to the extent strong restrictions are reintroduced it likely means there has been a loss of life.
New lockdown announced here today from next weekend. Until April 9th. Shopping centres closed again. Primary schools back online. Swimming pools and fitness closed again. No restrictions on church attendance though. No penalties if you donât wear a mask on public transport but there are if you donât wear one in the street. Not much of a lockdown really.
The need to go in to another lockdown would suggest an increase in hospitalizations and fatalities, bit like Christmas/January. Iâd imagine thatâs the logic.
A former frequent poster on here used to say the same during the first lockdown, which was the longest in Europe. It would be devastating to lockdown again apparently and we needed to make sure we had all of the systems in place. By the third lockdown after he had ignored their failure to implement said systems there was another excuse. Iâm sure heâd have another now.