Was lockdown helpful in lowering cases? Probably.
100% categorical certainty? Can’t be proved without the side by side comparison I mention, which won’t ever happen.
And that becomes a problem when you layer in all the issues that prolonged lockdowns impose on a population.
The question then becomes how much of a help was it?
Well, that also can’t be quantified. Any quantification is absolute guesswork.
And go a layer of abstraction further.
Were the benefits of the lockdown > the societal cost of the lockdown?
This will be argued for the next decade.
