Election Betting

Copper_pipe · February 10, 2020, 5:26pm

Mary Lou backed @ 4.5 on machine.

Copper_pipe · February 10, 2020, 6:08pm

Mary Lou backed @ 5/2 and 2/1.

Copper_pipe · February 10, 2020, 7:27pm

Most seats betting on the machine

FF 8/11
SF Evens

Julio_Geordio · February 10, 2020, 7:45pm

Is there a draw option?

Copper_pipe · February 10, 2020, 7:49pm

Nope…

Juhniallio · February 11, 2020, 3:38pm

Ah for fucksake. Just lost a large typed post here.
Bullet points.
-FF/SF +1 is the only game in town really.
SFF green is 5/2. Back it
SFF Soc Dem is not listed on PP for some reason.
SFF may want greens as an easy patsy but the Soc Dems may feel it’s time they could make an impression and that their gains might not be kept in a quick turnaround election.
Gonna get a price

Alan Kelly is 6/4 to be next Labour Leader and they have to have a leadership contest in the next few months. I’d be a lont time advocate of both Ged and Aodhán but I think now that it’s time for a wartime Don. There needs to be a message got across to the electorate that Labour is not dead and has decent policies if they’d like to take a look. AK47 is the man.

Smark · February 11, 2020, 5:37pm

Great shout on the SF woman in Dublin at evens @Juhniallio. Also to @Copper_pipe for putting up Richard O’Donoghue so often at various prices even as he drifted and also well done to @Julio_Geordio who made a strong case for backing over 18.5 seats or a similar line for SF which was of course smashed.

Just on Limerick, the green fella Leddin was 33/1 at the start of the campaign to get elected, I remember some politics sage from the limerick leader was interviewed live by rte news by the Shannon one night and he actually referenced it that his odds were mad and that he’d a right chance.

Your man from SF then running in the county was 14/1 and by god it looked like he’d get in for a long time. I’m sure there were many shock odds like the SF girls in Clare and Mayo and SF woman who was in Lanzarote the week before the election. Also Holly Cairns must have been a fair outsider.

Julio_Geordio · February 11, 2020, 6:11pm

By the sounds of it I’d say she didn’t even back herself

the_rattler · February 11, 2020, 6:54pm

Aodhán was available at 10s up to a fortnight ago. Broughan and Finian really cleared the path for him.

Juhniallio · February 11, 2020, 7:37pm

I know. I had advised him on here last year. Just can’t see him as leader now.

Juhniallio · February 11, 2020, 7:39pm

Point of order @Smark. I put up SF when the line was 17.
I also had a whack of coppinger though … And Labour over 6…

gaillimhmick · February 11, 2020, 7:48pm

You’re a sick man

the_rattler · February 11, 2020, 10:35pm

Would the head honchos try to stop Kelly again? Would Nash go for it?

Juhniallio · February 11, 2020, 10:48pm

What head honchos? There’s none left. Costello, burton, ryan, penrose, o Sullivan, stagg gone . The party is rejuvenated agewise but is all male. Only 3 of them could possibly go for it. Ged, AoR and AK. AK is not only the most secure seatwise, he’s the most confrontational and outspoken and they need that. He needed to be put away when him and Burton were absolutely toxic. I’d imagine Ged will go for it and will have great support. It’s an open vote with all members getting one I believe.

the_rattler · February 11, 2020, 10:53pm

Did nobody try to stop Howlin when he was elected leader? Why was Kelly not allowed to stand for leadership? Labour became an irrelevance with Howlin in charge. Kelly would have kept them in the news at least even if he is marmite

BeTimberin · February 11, 2020, 11:15pm

For a good spin of time Id have considered McSharry, McGrath, N Collins, Donnelly, L Chambers and Calleary as having the best shots at taking FF leadership when Martin goes.

Now that he is likely to go, and given the utter capitulation of the FF front bench in the last month I think its fair to say my mind has changed. O’Callaghan and O’Brien are more likely now.

Infact I wouldnt be surprised if we see a dramatic clearout of the FF front bench, not just those who lost seats. Crowe in Clare, O’Connor in Cork and Lawless in Kildare all seem younger and/or more capable.

Juhniallio · February 11, 2020, 11:22pm

No. The 7 tds were Howlin Kelly Burton Ryan Penrose o Sullivan and Sherlock. Kelly and Burton were absolutely toxic and had to step aside. AK didn’t want to but could find nobody to propose him. Literally nobody. Penrose Ryan and Sherlock had no interest at all in being leader. It was Howlin or Jan and he took it more as a poisoned chalice than anything. He was only ever keeping it warm(many would argue he didnt). Labour needs to make an impression quick on the electorate, particularly if we’ve another election coming. We need a loud leader. Ged or AoR could be leader in the future but AKs time is now.

the_rattler · February 11, 2020, 11:28pm

Was Howlin not toxic as minister for public expenditure? A poison chalice in a FG coalition govt where cutting taxes is often prioritised. This isn’t hindsight, I thought Howlin was a bad choice at the time for leader. When he didn’t want a challenge for leader was bizarre as well, refusing publicity for a minor party with 7 seats

Dziekanowski · February 11, 2020, 11:30pm

Yer man O’Sullivan in Cork South West seems about the best of their small new intake. Malcolm Byrne is a big loss for them.

Juhniallio · February 11, 2020, 11:31pm

It shouldn’t have been him but there was literally nobody else. Sherlock was the only one under 60 and needed to step up but he is only interested in Cork, the weird cark cunt. Howlin took it under duress, delivered a couple of fine ard fheis speeches but sure who the fuck cared? At least now we can have a go.