Iād concur with that. Heās a personable guy. I believe I met him 3 times over the campaign, Broughan was extremely low key. I think heāll get in.
What was the total amount of seats won by āothersā for a finish?
(Think others is everyone other than FG, FF, Labour, SF and The Greens)
Now the minister for sport, what have we created here?
As far as I know he has no sporting pedigree or interest.
Payback for getting two seats
Hedduh Humfries and de Arts pal.
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At least sports projects in Limerick will get disproportionate funding. Nowās the time to start building vanity projects.
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Lib Dems to win Witney at 9/1.
I think thatās good value for following reasons:
- Witney voted remain in June
- Tory candidate was in favour of leaving
- Lib Dems doing extremely well in recent council elections (not reflected in national opinion polls admittedly)
- Former Tory voters more likely to go Lib Dem then Labour
- Tories record of winning by elections when in government is abysmal. One win since 1989.
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Work away. You are deluded
No, not bad value at 9/1 as they are the only party running on a remain platform, which is a powerful one.
Surely Labour are remain too?
Not actively campaigning on it. Too busy eating themselves.
Cameron had a majority of 25,000 in the last election and the Lib Dems finished fourth.
Manchester G. Lib dems at 8/1. 61ā remain. Lib Dems strong locally. Labour in chaos and losing remain voters. LD excellent value.
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@RaymondCrotty have you any long shot fancies at this juncture to be the Democrats candidate to take on Trump for president as he goes for a second term? Whoever they pick that isnāt toxic will surely win, so must be some great value if one could snuff out their candidate now. Their most fancied prospect is around 10/1.
Aodhan O Riordan is superb value at 14s to be the next labour leader. Thereās lads who dont have ahope of it like Penrose, Burton, Ryan ahead of him. After the next election it could come down to a straight fight between him and Alan Kelly, (presuming both get electedā¦a big presumption I knowā¦) And Alan is marmite for much of the party.
Trump will walk the next election
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Whose offering this market?
Trump would probably beat Sanders anyway. Heād probably Warren because sheās a woman. Not toxic in the Hillary sense and very good value @ 14/1, but white male America will instantly resent having to take her seriously. Good value but canāt you canāt eat value. Cory Booker has a chance but he never comes across as likeable and lacks a little bit of charisma for me. Slightly fake character. 33/1 would be good value if he ran but he hasnāt announced that yet. Biden @ 16/1 would beat him but very unlikely to make the ticket. THe democratic front-runner is a black-Tamil mixed-race woman from California called Kamala Harris. I only started researching her about a5 minutes ago. Not a long political history, like Obama, unlike Clinton ,which is an advantage.She seems fairly sound, sheās reasonably MILFy, gives a decent air or competence, strongly and consistently liberal, doesnāt seem to me a cunt but the same people who hated Obama will hate her for the exact same reasons and I just donāt see those retards electing a woman. Sheās 10/1. I can sort of see the logic behind that because it looks like sheāll run (not guaranteed for any democrat currently) and a lot of the old Obamaās supporters could get behind her in a way they didnāt get behind Hillary.
People mostly just vote with their wallets and donāt give a fuck about anything else. Trump is 13/8 (I think) which is absolutely outrageous value because a) heās definitely in the final 2 and b) heās probably going to win (like definitely better than 50% currently). The smart money is going on Trump right now.
I would say a decent bet would be a spread of a few hindered euro with 50% on Trump and the rest divided equally between Harris, Booker, Warren and maybe Sanders. Just donāt see joe Biden winning that ticket.
Overall youāre probably right that now is the time to act, I might put that spread on myself at the end of the weekend, thanks for flagging it.
Pp. Odds are heavily skewed by the fact that heās not a sitting td. Thereās no appetite for a change within the party at present.
The reason for that is that if labour vote in that virtue signalling gimp theyāll end up lower than renua in the polls.
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