General Election 2016

[Sidney]

@Julio_Geordio

They were very careful to ensure no one in Dolphins barn is associated with Dublin Bay South

The extruding bit around Terenure was formerly Dublin South Central. Apparently Labour’s Eric Byrne did quite well here. Could benefit Humpheys in the new constituency but conversely damage Byrne.

[GeoffreyBoycott]

@Bandage

Brendan Howlin’s seat in Wexford should be pretty safe in fairness.

Could someone remind me why Enda hates the Murphy chap? He seems like the bland, posh dickhead type that would go to the top of Fine Gael. Didn’t he align himself with Bruton et al as a youngster when they were trying to get rid of Enda back in the late noughties?

There must be a real pallor of gloom across the country of Wexford with the retirement of political colossus Deputy Browne. Hopefully the exhausting process of finding someone to fill those boots will yield a worthy successor. Will Ger Carthy or Mythen eat into Howlin’s vote at all?

Eoghan Murphy is a son of Henry Murphy S.C. and a grandson of Gay Byrne’s former financial guru Russell Murphy. Very much south Dublin Fine Gael blueboods. Enda is from the country & wetern/big farmer type end of the party. Those two factions generally don’t get along.

[anon61956325]

Yes- I sent my RFA3 form off yesterday… registering to vote needs to be done by November, that’s a different ball game @Locke

[Bandage]

Deputy Browne’s son James is on the Fianna Fáil ticket so Enniscorthy might still have a Browne in the Dáil. There’s likely to be 1 seat for them in the county and he’s competing with party colleagues Malcolm Byrne (Gorey) and Aoife Byrne (New Ross, daughter of Hugh). I think he’s got the best chance out of those three.

[GeoffreyBoycott]

@Bandage

Deputy Browne’s son James is on the Fianna Fáil ticket so Enniscorthy might still have a Browne in the Dáil. There’s likely to be 1 seat for them in the county and he’s competing with party colleagues Malcolm Byrne (Gorey) and Aoife Byrne (New Ross, daughter of Hugh). I think he’s got the best chance out of those three.

Yes, I was aware that both Browne and Byrne scions were running.

Will the Gorey card be of assistance to Malcolm? No TD in the north of the county and the only real rival there is D’Arcy who has never been the biggest of vote getters. Who and where is Julia Hogan from?

[Fagan_ODowd]

@GeoffreyBoycott

@Bandage

Brendan Howlin’s seat in Wexford should be pretty safe in fairness.

Could someone remind me why Enda hates the Murphy chap? He seems like the bland, posh dickhead type that would go to the top of Fine Gael. Didn’t he align himself with Bruton et al as a youngster when they were trying to get rid of Enda back in the late noughties?

There must be a real pallor of gloom across the country of Wexford with the retirement of political colossus Deputy Browne. Hopefully the exhausting process of finding someone to fill those boots will yield a worthy successor. Will Ger Carthy or Mythen eat into Howlin’s vote at all?

Eoghan Murphy is a son of Henry Murphy S.C. and a grandson of Gay Byrne’s former financial guru Russell Murphy. Very much south Dublin Fine Gael blueboods. Enda is from the country & wetern/big farmer type end of the party. Those two factions generally don’t get along.

Russell Murphy swindled both Hugh Leonard and Gaybo. Took Hugh for 1/4 million and Gaybo for 150k which was a lot back in the day. His friendship with Sunday Press Beauty columnist Bronwyn Conroy was often commented upon at the time as well.

[Spidey]

An alright sort so.

[Locke]

Thanks Choccy. I’ve contacted the local Post Office and they have the form there. Will fill it out and send it off. Don’t want to have to go back out and vote in Cork East if I don’t have to.

[Fagan_ODowd]

@Spidey

An alright sort so.

Hard to fault the man except that Gaybo would have retired 20 years ago if he hadn’t stolen his savings.

[Bandage]

@GeoffreyBoycott

Yes, I was aware that both Browne and Byrne scions were running.

Will the Gorey card be of assistance to Malcolm? No TD in the north of the county and the only real rival there is D’Arcy who has never been the biggest of vote getters. Who and where is Julia Hogan from?

She’s from Saltmills in the south of the county but lives in Wexford town. I think she was added by party HQ as a nod to gender quotas but I doubt she’ll feature.

Hard to tell with Gorey and how it will assist Malcolm. I know party colleagues carved up the county in the past but not sure if anything has been agreed this time. I think Byrne and D’Arcy are the only two candidates from the north of the county with any chance. I reckon D’Arcy is more likely to take the departing Liam Twomey’s seat than Byrne taking one for FF here.

I’d have Mick Wallace, Brendan Howlin and Paul Kehoe down to retain with James Browne likely to take FF’s only seat. Last seat is fairly intriguing with D’Arcy and Byrne in the mix along with Johnny Mythen and Ger Carthy. I’m not sure there’s a seat for Sinn Féin here with Wallace and Howlin likely to poll strongly and Mythen’s Enniscorthy base also home to Kehoe and Browne. Carthy is well respected in Wexford and has a profile as mayor of Wexford town (we kept a mayor when Phil Hogan abolished them around the country) but doubt there’s going to be two independent TDs elected. Last seat probably between D’Arcy and Mythen overall though.

[artfoley]

@Fagan_ODowd

Russell Murphy swindled both Hugh Leonard and Gaybo. Took Hugh for 1/4 million and Gaybo for 150k which was a lot back in the day. His friendship with Sunday Press Beauty columnist Bronwyn Conroy was often commented upon at the time as well.

Apparently Russell’s sons paid back some of the money their old lad had half inched. I used to work with one of the sons and you couldn’t meet a nicer chap

[GeoffreyBoycott]

@Bandage

She’s from Saltmills in the south of the county but lives in Wexford town. I think she was added by party HQ as a nod to gender quotas but I doubt she’ll feature.

Hard to tell with Gorey and how it will assist Malcolm. I know party colleagues carved up the county in the past but not sure if anything has been agreed this time. I think Byrne and D’Arcy are the only two candidates from the north of the county with any chance. I reckon D’Arcy is more likely to take the departing Liam Twomey’s seat than Byrne taking one for FF here.

I’d have Mick Wallace, Brendan Howlin and Paul Kehoe down to retain with James Browne likely to take FF’s only seat. Last seat is fairly intriguing with D’Arcy and Byrne in the mix along with Johnny Mythen and Ger Carthy. I’m not sure there’s a seat for Sinn Féin here with Wallace and Howlin likely to poll strongly and Mythen’s Enniscorthy base also home to Kehoe and Browne. Carthy is well respected in Wexford and has a profile as mayor of Wexford town (we kept a mayor when Phil Hogan abolished them around the country) but doubt there’s going to be two independent TDs elected. Last seat probably between D’Arcy and Mythen overall though.

Has Lisa McDonald Simpson retired from politics?

[Fagan_ODowd]

@artfoley

@Fagan_ODowd

Russell Murphy swindled both Hugh Leonard and Gaybo. Took Hugh for 1/4 million and Gaybo for 150k which was a lot back in the day. His friendship with Sunday Press Beauty columnist Bronwyn Conroy was often commented upon at the time as well.

Apparently Russell’s sons paid back some of the money their old lad had half inched. I used to work with one of the sons and you couldn’t meet a nicer chap

In the words of my mother

"What’s bred in the marrow comes out in the bone ".

[Bandage]

I’m not sure, pal. She’s been active in a non-party* organisation/pressure group set up to complain about the severe shortage of Wexford town secondary school places.

*possibly being fronted by FF sympathetic types and being used to attack the government.

[Mac]

@Bandage

I’m not sure, pal. She’s been active in a non-party* organisation/pressure group set up to complain about the severe shortage of Wexford town secondary school places.

*possibly being fronted by FF sympathetic types and being used to attack the government.

Johnny Mythen hasn’t a hope.

Most of the FF vote in Gorey last time around went to Wallace apparently. Those who lost faith in FF voted for him rather than voting for the enemy of Darcy / FG. Malcolm has been doing the ground work for 2-3 years now and really fought to be added to the ticket despite the party trying to push him out. I can see him getting the local FF vote along with a local vote from people with no party allegiance as North Wexford want a TD. Whether that is enough I don’t know but he should get a lot of transfers from North Wexford too once he’s not eliminated too early and this could give him a strong position.

If he does get elected I’d predict he’ll leave FF within 12 months and work as an independent TD.

[Mac]

@Mac

Johnny Mythen hasn’t a hope.

Most of the FF vote in Gorey last time around went to Wallace apparently. Those who lost faith in FF voted for him rather than voting for the enemy of Darcy / FG. Malcolm has been doing the ground work for 2-3 years now and really fought to be added to the ticket despite the party trying to push him out. I can see him getting the local FF vote along with a local vote from people with no party allegiance as North Wexford want a TD. Whether that is enough I don’t know but he should get a lot of transfers from North Wexford too once he’s not eliminated too early and this could give him a strong position.

If he does get elected I’d predict he’ll leave FF within 12 months and work as an independent TD

2 mins after typing this post who arrives on the door step only Malcolm himself

[Bandage]

@GeoffreyBoycott, @Fagan_ODowd, @Tim_Riggins et al, would there be many proddy bastards up for election? I maybe naively didn’t realise that the likes of the late Brian Lenihan was a proddy. Would the likes of FF and FG be riddled with proddies?

[ciarancareyshurlingarmy]

@Bandage

@GeoffreyBoycott, @Fagan_ODowd, @Tim_Riggins et al, would there be many proddy bastards up for election? I maybe naively didn’t realise that the likes of the late Brian Lenihan was a proddy. Would the likes of FF and FG be riddled with proddies?

I reckon that will be shocking news for Brian’s family

[Tim_Riggins]

Lenihan was a Catholic. Heather Humphreys is a Prod, Seymour Crawford was one as well.

[Tassotti]

Finance Minister Michael Noonan admits he knew about foster home abuse...