Thatâs always how it is. The people who are at most risk of terrorism reject the bigots (London, New York etc.). And itâs the cunts living out in the back arse of nowhere that make out they need protection.
It just shows that the terrorism has fuck all to do with it really. They just want a chance to vote for someone whoâs as racist as they are.
I donât agree with that. The vast majority of Melenchon supporters will not transfer to Le Pen, in the same way as the vast majority of Sanders supporters did not transfer to Trump.
I donât think the vast majority will either. I suspect a significant number will though, possibly a small majority. Admittedly I havenât checked this too closely, but Iâm working on the assumption that Melanchon support isnât quite as youth driven as Sanders was.
As a matter of interest, that Midwest primary Sanders won out of nowhere (Minnesota or possibly Wisconsin I think?). Was there any analysis of where that vote went? Genuine question. I presume that was more of an old school blue collar vote than the Sanders vote at large?
Immediate post first round polls indicate Melenchonâs support will transfer to Macron at somewhere between 51 and 62%, with Le Pen getting between 9 and 22% of it.
Projected abstentions among Melenchon voters are currently running at 23 to 36%.
Le Pen will need to drive this abstention rate up as high as possible but even still, I just donât see where she gets near the amount of votes she needs, as all other main candidatesâ support looks like it will transfer to Macron in considerably higher numbers.
Michigan was the primary that Sanders won unexpectedly. Obviously given that Clinton lost the state by 11k votes in November, any Sanders votes that went to Trump were damaging to her, but the point holds that few Sanders supporters backed Trump - a poll in the last week estimated that just 8% would do so.
The funniest thing is if the Socialists (who had no chance) had pulled Hamon with a week to go Melenchon & Macron would have been first past the post, the centre right & hard right would have been defeated and a proper socialist would be in the run off vs a wishy washy one. Indeed both Melenchon & Macron are former Socialist party members themselves (splitters).
Instead of bitterly opposing the likes of Fillon & Le Pen (in particular) they took the line of calling on the party faithful not to desert Hamon, even if he couldnât win, because if they didnât get over 5% they wouldnât have their election expenses refunded and would be in big trouble financially.
I think that tells you all you need to know about politics in general really.
will we see the irish left wing brigade who are staunchly anti EU, anti Troika, anti bailout and blame the ills of the nation on FF / FG row in between the pro EU candidate like they did with the remain campaign last June?
or like all left wing movements will they be giggling away under the duvet if Le Pen wins like they were when Trump , Farage were victorious so they can come out and call the electorate racist?
Donât mind him, what about the cunt who pursued him and stole him away from her own daughter who was his age? The French are some crowd of weirdos if they allow these sick cunts inhabit the Elysee Palace.