Statistical Nerds Thread

Sorry but this has little to do with your claims that they will need to lockdown harder and for longer, there no evidence of that.

1,500 deaths is not fantastic but it is not near the catastrophe suggested- not even close. The idea that you fear for them now because look at Belgium 6 weeks ago locking down does not pass the smell test. There is an incubation period for this virus but it is going to be clear in 6 weeks whether you will be at the same level. Also, as pointed out over and over again, we need to see the real final death tolls when all of this is said and done.

And Sweden have introduced measures, just not as hard as other places. Some places have been a lot more draconian than Ireland even, “lockdown” is a relative term.

We are looking now at reopening schools but they are petrified to make a decision so will wait and see.

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there is no evidence for that you sap. That’s an opinion. OPINION.

I fear for them because they clearly haven’t been testing enough, they haven’t locked down like their neigbours and they are going for an approach other people have abandoned weeks ago.

Explain this one? Who’s we and who’s they?

That’s an awful mess of a post

I think we will look back on this and realize an early short lockdown then social distancing guidelines, hygiene and masks would have been the most balanced approach. Along with very strict control in nursing homes, care homes and hospitals. Easy to say now I know but we had enough information in early February, as in the high R0 and death rates among the elderly in Wuhan.

Failing to act early is a huge stain on all western governments and has resulted in widespread unemployment and destruction of small businesses far worse than 2009. Hopefully the opening up will be managed a bit better.

I think the biggest things to come out of it will be focus on health care capacity, also on maintainable testing and tracing processes and the focus on ramping these up quickly on demand. There’ll be a big focus on being pandemic ready in the future, to try and mitigate against even short lockdowns. Test/Trace/Isolate

The opening up is going to be really difficult, opening up locally is manageable, but how do you coordinate it between countries, if one place is still doing poorly and others are opening up, are you going to have travel bans within Europe or within the United States between two states for example?

The biggest thing that needs to come out of this is total transparency from all countries when a new pathogen
appears. Something that was agreed after SARS in 2003 but made no difference when the time came.

Our country. There is clear evidence that our hospitalisation and ICUs are dropping or stable. We have some of the highest testing stats in the world. We have expanded ICU capacity which hasn’t been needed thankfully. We might not be all the way there on what the authorities want, but where is our roadmap? Why is Simon Harris just musing in the SINDO? Sports organisations and pubs have come out now on their worries over his idle statements. People and industries want and actual plan in place. Harris is dipping his toe in the water on opening up as he is terrified of being blamed- other countries have published their roadmaps. The EU have made suggestions, I’d like to see some sort of plan from here.

What is your opinion based on on Sweden? You’ve latched onto testing now as your saving grace. What about ICUs? Hospital admissions? Previously you were going on about deaths with them and people demanding a lockdown.

I mean you’ve said on here they’ve done “nothing”, which isn’t true. It’s weeks and weeks now since the apocalyptic scenes in Italy and the suggestions other places might get that way. It looks like we’ve avoided it, but it also looks like they’ve avoided it in Sweden. Just going on about a “fear” there means nothing.

Over and over you’ve just cherry picked one stat and ran with it without looking at other variables. The 200 deaths as a takeoff point was another. It’s bizarre and you just default to calling people names when it is debated.

He also defends the CCP which is unforgivable given what those lying bastards have done to us.

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I’ve never defended the CCP, I’ve just called you racially prejudiced.

Criticism of an evil totalitarian regime is not racist.

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Ireland’s deaths in comparison to other similar sized European countries

(based on worldometers stats https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ )

One eyed criticism is. You’ve never acknowledged the good things they’ve done. Like sharing the genome, sending doctors to affected areas etc.

Trump wants a totalitarian regime and you won’t criticise that bar calling him a joker and a clown. But the CCP are evil. Square that circle

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Accusing someone of racism is a serious charge which needs back up, and you have none. Any good things China has done (which is debatable, PPE that’s useless?) are outweighed by the fact they covered up and lied about this outbreak for a month. If they were interested in global health and preventing a pandemic, they would have asked for help in mid December. Instead they were still saying in late January there was no evidence of human to human transmission, which we know was utter bullshit.

It doesn’t matter what Trump wants, or doesn’t want, his is one branch of government subject to checks and balances, and subject to the will of the people in November. To compare the US with communist China is simply delusional stuff, exposing you as a Sidney lite, not a great look.

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Lots of lads want to think it’s really bad, but show me the equivalent of a regional boss in China speaking out against President Xi

Maybe even an attack ad from a Presidential opponent or Xi against him?

Oh wait, we won’t find either.

And I suppose Joe Biden is racist for saying that Trump kowtowed to Chi-na.

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America has checks and balances which trump is looking to undermine and sabotage and you call him a joker and a clown. Trump lied as much as China did at the start of this. He praised China’s transparency, he called the virus a hoax…

One lie is evil and one is a joke. Square that circle

The two are in completely different leagues

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Both contemptible, hopefully checks and balances continue checking and balancing

Is that FAKE NEWS?

You’re a terrible reporter

Huh?

I’ve the countries sorted by km/sq, good to keep in mind when looking at the numbers

@labane1917 isn’t racist, he just always sides with racists and consistently uses blatantly racist framing.

Calling for Islam to be banned isn’t racist, it’s just racially motivated religious hatred!

Or something something.