The 32nd Dáil Eireann

Is Coveney trying to back Leo into a corner ?

I think they realise its end game. Gavan Reilly has a good thread going on here over the past 9 hours

Basically saying there’s no way back no given the no confidence, and that there’s still things to legislate for, budget, etc, that will most likely see election in New Year at earliest.

I concur.

He seems to be saying the Gubberment is going to fall.

Fine Gael parliamentary party meeting called for 10pm. Should be lively given they will all be half cut.

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Spare a thought for Charlie after him filling sandbags below in Mountmellick all day.

Nobody wants an election before Christmas. Varadkar will have to go for a mandate at some stage in 2018. The confidence and supply agreement with FF is for three budgets, of which one remains. The Minister for the Women of Status will be thrown to the wolves. SF have gotten the jump on Fianna Fáil on this one so Meehawl will table his own motion rather than vote for the Shinners one.

The next election will most likely return a similar enough result to the last, with modest gains for both FF and FG at the expense of independents.

If it means the likes of Mick Barry, Clare Daly and Ruth Coppinger are ousted from the house the Taoiseach needs to go to the country immediately.

All 3 will probably be re-elected .

Irrespective of her politics, Clare Daly is one of the best in the dail.

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Do you honestly think that?

I personally think she personifies just a load of populist guff. Tax the rich, let others be given everything.

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I think the independents will be cleaned out the next time. Like in 1982.

They will. Plus Labour will get devoured

Yes I do. If you look at her PQs and speeches and ignore her policies she actually holds the govt to account. It’s no wonder McCabe approached her

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There cycle is probably run and they will drop seats but the irony is that with Dáil arithmetic one or two of them could have real clout .

Jez Katie is fairly adamant we have an election before christmas

They’ve been devoured already and won’t recover this time. What have they? 4 seats off the top of my head - Howlin, Kelly, Burton and Jan O’Sullivan. They’ll likely hold those four but won’t gain any.

Burton just about hung on as did Kelly.
Kelly has probably come on a bit and I would fancy him to hold on. Best they’ve I’ll do is three I’d say.
Gerry pulling out will attract a lot of voters to SF.

Dodgy is a long standing critic of McCabe also

I think this is a massive own goal by FF. They have backed themselves into a corner here and may force a GE that the public don’t really want. They could be in for an election backlash. It could actually work out alright for FG. SF are witjout a proven leader. Labour are in freefall and the inds have peaked.

Sherlock in Cork, Penrose in Westmeath, Brendan Ryan in Fingal

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