Its mad thinking how anyone got a majority in Ireland looking at the numbers needed
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Who votes for him so?
All those Sars lads canvass for him
Mattie is not a certainty going forward.
He has pissed off some of his electorate by delivering little and his Religious views becoming more extreme
He did the dirty on his running mate in Ballingarry. It wonât be forgotten
They ran 42 candidates last time. They got a great return, but there were a few constituencies where if they even stuck a wheelie bin onto the ticket as an extra candidate, they would have gained extra seats.
Most should retain their seats, although you wouldnât be sure of the likes of that headbanger in Clare.
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SF wont touch them. 15% tax rate on them is enough and they arent stupid enough to kill the golden goose. Tbh SF would do fuck all differnet than ffg imho
Sars arenât exactly the most popular club inside or outside Thurles.
Heâll get in though actually if they only run one candidate which they should.
No guarantee Kelly runs again. Heâs done. Can see him fucking off to private sector.
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Sars would struggle to bring 1000 supporters to a Co Final
Oh oh. Yet another booboo from the honourable @ChairmanDan on the judgement front. Itâs becoming clear he really doesnt understand Paddy at all.
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Theres a fair chance if they get it right next time out , they could hit 50. But in hitting that 50, theyâll probably obliterate labour which will still leave them scrambling for numbers with the smaller parties and independents. You might get a few renegade ffers who will push for a coalition but unless sf can hit 65+, it will take some amount of horse trading to form a government
They ran 42 the last time and got 37 elected. Theyâll have an extraordinary election if they can break 50 next time. If the incumbents can muster 81 between them itâs all been for nought and the status quo will be preserved. As simple as that really.
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Theyâll do a great job promising
Execution is surprisingly (given their history) where they fall down
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Mary Lou has her ear to the ground whie some lads have their heads in the sand
I wager a bet that if they hit 50, itll be the end of labour. After that, if they genuinely want to be in government, theyâll be relying on a mixture of independents and the likes of pbf to make up numbers. Still wont be enough because despite all the sabre rattling by the likes of John McGuinness, ff still wont jump ship. If they are to do it, they need to hit the 60/65 mark and that aint gonna happen
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They built 835 social housing homes last year in NI.
Itâll be genuinely interesting to see them take power as they wonât be able to ride the populist wave and will need to make and implement actual policies and stand behind them.
I think a SF/FF government is nailed on after next election. Labour are finished. Their choice of leader was final nail in coffin.
On the off chance they donât get an outright majority it will be SF/Green. You can chalk that
I think SF have to get into power next time just to give them a chance and get to a state of equilibrium where theyâve all had a chance to govern between all the serious parties going forward and we can actually have conversations based on things that have happened rather than guessing what SF would do
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The Greens are interesting. Iâve always thought Green votes are sort of luxury votes you can make in times of abundance. If energy bills go where they look to be and weâve blackouts then Ryan will be absolutely hammered.
SF arenât alone in the north and the purse strings are complicated. Deirdre Hargey did release another ÂŁ20m in November last year exclusively to combat costs of materials to build more social housingâŚ