And this Labour lead will extend over the next few hours. Labour seats are invariably in urbanised areas so boxes are in quicker and counted first.
First outside chance for Conservatives coming upâŚ
Three for Labour, three women. If if keeps up like this itâll be biggest revolution in British politics since 1945.
Theyâre getting quite exercised about the scale of the Tory swing thatâs showing up in the early Sunderland constituencies. What nobody seems to be alluding is to the fact that the swing has to be so much greater in England anyway as the Tories will pick up so few seats elsewhere in the United Kindom.
Bookies have Tory overall majority as favourite outcome with hung parliament at 6/5. Would mean of course that Exit Poll was quite a bit out.
The fucking state of the three UKIP candidates so far! 3 old cranks.
I hope Ben Shermin will be logging on at some stage over the next few hours to give us the BNP point of view.
Apart from 1992, the exit polls have been pretty spot on in the UK in recent years, but this year there are a significant number of postal votes, which would have been sent around the time of the first debate, so these may heavily favour the LibDems.
Its amazing though that the country that gave us the Westminister system still has first past the post, Whoever does a deal with Clegg may end up sealing their own fate, as the LibDems will demand legislation for preferential voting, in which case Clegg could be the PM after the next election.
Theyâre not exactly flying today, are they?
Hung parliament was 4/7 with Paddy Power at half nine or so. Theyâre making a different call to BBC anyway.
Crazy scenes with people not getting to vote. Similar to the States a couple of elections back.
But the last few elections have seen accumulation of growth. So Labour narrowed gap, then got in front, then increased lead. And once that swing was happening it was easy enough to pick representative constituencies because the marginal ones last time were the ones that Labour were taking next time. It doesnât really follow that constituencies which were representative of Labour growth in recent years will also be reflective of Labour decline this year - or reflective in the right ratio anyway.
I think itâs fairly extraordinary that they donât even have exit polls in the 6 counties and that thereâs no constitunency-level analysis, even on regional channels.
im expecting a strong showing from the English Democrats in the South West .
Mebyon Kernowâs Joanie Willett will hopefully secure Cornwall North as wellâŚ
Sid, in relation to sunderland, i expected a stronger showing from the UKIP and the BNP, for each of the 3 seats the the BNP recived around 1000 votes,
i thought in a working class, chav area like the north east these extremist parties would hold a stronger influence
what u think?
Paxman getting very vexed here about the polling stations closing at 10-00pm
Get Robert Mugabe in to oversee the next election. Heâll get all the votes in.
I doubt most people in the UK are even aware that the 6 counties are voting.
Often and early as well.
Nee chance bonny lad, Sunâlun is solid Leehbuh pawwwhhty territâry.
Paxman fairly dismissed poor old David Milliband there
i always thought Milliband was an allright sort TBH, pretty good foreign minister
Miriam: âWe donât have any exit polls here in Northern Ireland but we do have Tommie Gormanâ. :unsure:
Rev. Ian Paisley Snr is most definitly an allright sort, âthe people have spokenâ
Some celebs at that Beeb election party look quite pissed.