Trump wonât be stopped now. Which means a shoo-in for Hillary in November.
Hon ta fuck!
Looks like Rubio may get second which would be a huge defeat for the cunt Cruz. Expect huge money to pile on Rubio now to try and knock Trump off his perch.
Jeb gone from the race?
Sadly yes, hopefully the few Jeb! supporters out there donât make the mistake of going to robot Rubio
Trump is still tearing into Ted Cruz even though Cruz is fucked and effectively out of the race.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/701871659150548993
Trump should be hoping to keep Cruz in the race for as long as possible.
It looks like its going to be RubioBot v Trump now,Trump even let his"wife"say a few words at the weekend,funny enough his supporters hate immigrants unless of course theyre topless model immigrants
hon Trump, great to have another Irish president of America
Hes about as irish as cornbeef and cabbage
The race gets interesting now. Although Trump seems the favorite, the GOP establishment will do everything they can to ensure neither Trump nor Cruz get the nomination. Rubio has been reasonably well rehabilitated since the New Hsmpshire debacle. There is a growing opinion that Trump cannot surpass around 30% so in a two horse race he will lose. Itâll go down to Trump v Rubio after Super Tuesday and as Rubio is the only one with a prayer of winning the general election, he will get massive funding and get endorsed by all the exiting candidates (even Cruz due to the vitriol between himself and Trump). Hillary vs Rubio in November.
I could see Trump having another dummy spit and running for pres as an independent. The GOP will certainly give him enough excuses to leave their circus (whether intentionally or not). But making predictions in this freak show election is a dangerous business.
Theyâve been saying all that for a while though and it hasnât come to pass, the longer Trump stays alive the more âcredibleâ he becomes to voters. Rubio hasnât really stepped up to the mark, but I do think itâll be Trump v Rubio for the nomination and the Democrats will wipe the floor with either.
I was reading a piece this morning saying that Trumps votes are capped at these levels of 35-40% (you are either pro Trump or anti he doesnât have many who would switch to him), so as other candidates fall away heâll lose ground and the vote will consolidate somewhere else. However considering how far right some of the nuts that have yet to fall are Iâm not so sure.
Also if three candidates stay in the race for another month or so then 35-40% is a lot of nominations. I think Trump will win the Republican nomination.
Is Bern fucked lads?
Hilary now looks like a sensible, perhaps appealing, bet at 10/11 to win the race to be president? I see her biggest challenge as beating Bernie, but a straight shoot out between her and Trump will only have one winner. Sheâs 1/5 to be the Democratic candidate, essentially to beat Bernie, but 10/11 to win the presidential race.
He never really had a chance. I think he even surprised himself how he made it a bit competitive early on. Heâll fall away for good in early March.
Bookies have Rubio at almost evens for Rep nomination. Trump just a hair the odds-on side of evens. Itâs 20/1 the field after those two.
Bookies liking Rubioâs chances.
The only remaining far right candidate is Cruz. Carson, Kasich and Rubio are moderates by Republican standards. Trump is actually a complete enigma (but a smart one), as it is impossible to know where he actually is on the political spectrum. The majority of his supporters are far right, but he himself was a Democrat most of his life, and the controversial positions he has taken could be just to gain the Republican nomination (the turnout has been biased to the angry, which has benefited him). If Trump were to win the Republican nomination, I expect he will run to the center on many issues faster than Usain Bolt, as again he is a very smart guy and knows thatâs the only way to get elected.
Trump (and Sanders) have benefited from the anger of the electorate, something that is likely to be still there in November. The general consensus among a significant, and potentially decisive, portion of the electorate across party lines is that the leading politicians of both parties are 1. complete morons and incapable of implementing anything that benefits the country (you could simplify that to implementing anything), and 2. owned by big business. Regardless of what people think about him personally, Trump has two big advantages; he is clearly not a moron, and he understands how business operates and how business leaders are motivated.
Big business is scared of Trump precisely because of this. They know he would tackle issues like taxation (reducing corporate taxes in the US, while closing tax loopholes and forcing corporations to repatriate profits from abroad). Thatâs the main reason Rubio will now get massive backing, to maintain the status quo (big business calling the shots, as always).
Big business backed Jeb! as well and that didnât work out. How did someone not realise what a loser he was before all that money poured in?