You’re deluded if you think they can reach that target in 10 and a bit weeks.
They need to have well over 4m doses given by the end of June to meet that target.
By the end of the week they will have probably in the region of 1.37m doses give so they then need to give about 3m doses in about 10 and a bit weeks. An avg of over 300k a week. They haven’t even show a capability of doing half that yet and you genuinely expect them to do an avg of double what they done so far for the next 10 weeks.
I think we’ve seen an inflection point in the last couple of weeks with Europe ramping up delivery levels. We haven’t kept pace (where we were previously). A decent amount of that is down to AZ - not the delivery of it, just how we’ve put our own interpretation on its usage from the start. The question seems to be can we move up the gears quite quickly.
The AZ interpretation has an impact, the J&J one will have a bigger impact. The number of times the plan has to be adjusted and recalibrated based is ridiculous.
Phase 1 of the vaccine rollout largely leaned on the hospitals to vaccinate their own staff and other healthcare workers
Phase 2 largely leaned on the GP network
Phase 3, just beginning, relies on mass vaccination centres. As you say, in some ways this should be easier. No sorting out lists, just get people to register by age and turn up. It’s entirely doable to get to the numbers they aspire to.
Yes it is. I think the decision should be a pragmatic one. But lots of other countries have decided over 60 for J&J so you can’t categorically say that would be wrong either.
So 3.04m first doses needed for the target to be hit.
60% of the adult population is 2.28m
Depending on the J&J that figures could be lowered to 1.74m if all J&J are utilised - that’s a pie in the sky scenario really.
So you are looking at 4.78-5.32m vaccines needed to be administered to hit targets.
It’s not going to happen, it’s not going to even come close to happening. It will be rolling well into September/October in all likelihood.
but you could say its wrong; the death rate for vaccines vs covid indicates that rolling out the vaccine is the way to go, if youre worried abot litigation get people to sign a waiver and after 15 months of project fear on RTE theyll gladly sign it.
