i) They significantly reduce spread - as they almost certainly will do too with Omicron and
ii) they on average greatly reduce death rates and greatly lessen symptoms if you are infected - as they will almost certainly do with Omicron.
But Omicron likely chips further away at their effectiveness - very likely in terms of infection and spread - enough to get us to a place where we will have a big problem again.
The anti-vacc health facists have been told this maybe a thousand times and it hasnât got through - whether thatâs because they donât or wonât understand it, who knows.
I think thatâs the main argument AGAINST the new restrictions. Were either totally fucked or weâre not. Closing pubs two hours early etc will not make the slightest difference. Only NPHET seem not to see this
South Africa backdates hospital admissions, ie. more are added to the figure for a particular date over the following week. So the figures for todayâs and yesterdayâs admissions are incomplete and will be larger than the chart here shows.
How can people so brazenly keep lying about vaccines significantly reducing spread. Itâs an outrageous lie, disputed on a daily basis by the new cases.
In a Delta only situation, lessening or removing the few restrictions we still have, especially in the run up to Christmas, will likely once again bump up the figures to a place where we are in trouble (50 deaths a week and mass illness including chronic illness is already trouble in my view, though there would be some grounds for optimism were we to remain in a Delta only situation and have most of the population boosted with a third dose).
With this new variant it might all be irrelevant, certainly any discussion of a pick and mix restrictions regime would likely be.
JK Galbraith said âideas are inherently conservative. They yield not to the attack of other ideas but to the massive onslaught of circumstances with which they cannot contend.â