So the League of Ireland then?
81000 cases over 90 days from 1 July to 30 September is the optimistic nphet model
I think these lads donāt have a model, they use the calculator on a phone to mutilply 90days by a rounded number which is more than twice the current run-rate.
There are 91 days from 1 July to 30 September. They could not even get the mutilpier right
OPTIMISTIC
You said it.
The most recent studies have Delta at circa 40% more transmissible than Alpha. The NPHET model has it at 155%. Seemed strange to me.
You really would have to be the biggest type of lunatic or conspiracy theorist to give any credibility to NPHETās warnings.
Thatās basically 900 cases a day. Weāre at 300-400 as it is. That is optimistic in terms of case numbers if you open pubs. Very optimistic.
Where exactly does it say that? I havenāt looked at the models in depth.
That is optimistic in terms of case numbers if you open pubs. Very optimistic.
Never mind the actual modelling, an expert on the optimism levels of the modelling now.
Thanks for the smileys but it doesnāt address the point.
4k cases last year June-Aug with indoor dining open.
What they are projecting defies any sort of credibility.
āAre we fuckā
Im not special. Iām sure it is hot keyed for them. Copy paste job.
At least they got 2 emails which means they got in reality 2 million emails
That youāre talking nonsense based on absolutely nothing?
āVery optimisticā - that was a good one
Have you modelled for the 9 euro meal though? That could be a game changer this summer.
Thatās basically 900 cases a day. Weāre at 300-400 as it is. That is optimistic in terms of case numbers if you open pubs. Very optimistic.
Iād agree with that. Very easy to see us getting to 900 cases a day even without pubs opening. I suppose the question Iād have is how they extrapolate hospital and icu numbers from the case numbers.
Itās generally all about alcohol from the moaning Iāve read so far.
Itās generally all about alcohol from the moaning Iāve read so far.
Jobs
Business
Socialisation
The models seem to ignore that for under 40s the Delta variant seems to largely cause bad hay fever symptoms
The only way out of this will be for the people they trust to go for a PCR test but donāt trust to not butter an antigen test to simply stop going for PCR tests
Itās generally all about alcohol from the moaning Iāve read so far.
I want to go watch a championship match, Iāll happily drink my warm cans from the dog track outside on the track if thatās what it takes