Coronavirus Thread (Markey hates Immigrants )

So the League of Ireland then?

81000 cases over 90 days from 1 July to 30 September is the optimistic nphet model

I think these lads donā€™t have a model, they use the calculator on a phone to mutilply 90days by a rounded number which is more than twice the current run-rate.
There are 91 days from 1 July to 30 September. They could not even get the mutilpier right

OPTIMISTIC

You said it.

The most recent studies have Delta at circa 40% more transmissible than Alpha. The NPHET model has it at 155%. Seemed strange to me.

You really would have to be the biggest type of lunatic or conspiracy theorist to give any credibility to NPHETā€™s warnings.

1 Like

Thatā€™s basically 900 cases a day. Weā€™re at 300-400 as it is. That is optimistic in terms of case numbers if you open pubs. Very optimistic.

Where exactly does it say that? I havenā€™t looked at the models in depth.

:joy::joy::joy:

Never mind the actual modelling, an expert on the optimism levels of the modelling now.

1 Like

Thanks for the smileys but it doesnā€™t address the point.

4k cases last year June-Aug with indoor dining open.

What they are projecting defies any sort of credibility.

ā€œAre we fuckā€

Im not special. Iā€™m sure it is hot keyed for them. Copy paste job.

At least they got 2 emails which means they got in reality 2 million emails

That youā€™re talking nonsense based on absolutely nothing?

ā€œVery optimisticā€ - that was a good one :smiley:

Have you modelled for the 9 euro meal though? That could be a game changer this summer.

1 Like

1 Like

Iā€™d agree with that. Very easy to see us getting to 900 cases a day even without pubs opening. I suppose the question Iā€™d have is how they extrapolate hospital and icu numbers from the case numbers.

3 Likes

Itā€™s generally all about alcohol from the moaning Iā€™ve read so far.

Jobs
Business
Socialisation

1 Like

The models seem to ignore that for under 40s the Delta variant seems to largely cause bad hay fever symptoms

The only way out of this will be for the people they trust to go for a PCR test but donā€™t trust to not butter an antigen test to simply stop going for PCR tests

I want to go watch a championship match, Iā€™ll happily drink my warm cans from the dog track outside on the track if thatā€™s what it takes