You said it.
The most recent studies have Delta at circa 40% more transmissible than Alpha. The NPHET model has it at 155%. Seemed strange to me.
You really would have to be the biggest type of lunatic or conspiracy theorist to give any credibility to NPHET’s warnings.
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That’s basically 900 cases a day. We’re at 300-400 as it is. That is optimistic in terms of case numbers if you open pubs. Very optimistic.
Where exactly does it say that? I haven’t looked at the models in depth.
Never mind the actual modelling, an expert on the optimism levels of the modelling now.
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Thanks for the smileys but it doesn’t address the point.
4k cases last year June-Aug with indoor dining open.
What they are projecting defies any sort of credibility.
“Are we fuck”
Im not special. I’m sure it is hot keyed for them. Copy paste job.
At least they got 2 emails which means they got in reality 2 million emails
That you’re talking nonsense based on absolutely nothing?
“Very optimistic” - that was a good one 
Have you modelled for the 9 euro meal though? That could be a game changer this summer.
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I’d agree with that. Very easy to see us getting to 900 cases a day even without pubs opening. I suppose the question I’d have is how they extrapolate hospital and icu numbers from the case numbers.
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It’s generally all about alcohol from the moaning I’ve read so far.
Jobs
Business
Socialisation
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The models seem to ignore that for under 40s the Delta variant seems to largely cause bad hay fever symptoms
The only way out of this will be for the people they trust to go for a PCR test but don’t trust to not butter an antigen test to simply stop going for PCR tests
I want to go watch a championship match, I’ll happily drink my warm cans from the dog track outside on the track if that’s what it takes
Kids indoor sports are gone again. Pending full vaccination. Kids aren’t on list to be vaccinated.
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I added the “very” for emphasis. Because it’s self-evident to me that if you open pubs, little more than a doubling in case numbers over a period of 90 days is so optimistic as to be completely and utterly fantastical. Scotland more than doubled in three days. The UK has had x7 times growth in 4 weeks - without any change in the restrictions.
Even if we were to to tip along at the same level of restrictions we currently have, it’s very realistic to think there could be significant growth, to well above 900 cases per day.
If you add petrol to that by opening pubs, you could certainly be looking at the x7 growth in four weeks that the UK has had.