you trigger the lads Glas
If I said up theyâd say down. Along they come then months later and prove me right.
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what?
Thereâs a bank holiday weekend coming up, do you seriously think young people are going to sit at home watching Netflix?
Same for every weekend throughout this sorry mess. They have no games to play/no work or college lectures for most/no pubs.
If you seriously think young people are going to comply like they did in March you can forget it.
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They should organize massive outdoor raves for them like they did in the UK.
Nah, that was the peak, you claimed it was going to be the surge week
Yeah NPHET are working under the assumption of where we are at now it will take 3 weeks to get cases to 250 a day and another 3 weeks to get it to 50 a day. I dont see it myself but thats what their expert modellers are working off. I think you will see a lot less buy in. Cases will come down a small bit due to non essential shops being closed and less meeting points for people and they might feel validated in their approach but by mid January we will be up around a 1000 a day again.
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why do you think that?
Just 6 weeks until the next 6 weeks lads donât fret
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The worst of all will be after 6 weeks when cases have fallen a bit to maybe 400 a day, Harris/Holohan etc will be out telling us Level 5 is working, we just need to redouble our efforts over Christmas as its too risky to relax any measure over the festive period.
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If we work hard for 6 weeks, weâll be allowed sing jingle bells in our parents garden for 10 minutes on Christmas Day.
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Lads thinking this is for 6 weeks need their head examined
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You couldnât make it up
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Its just a given that the virus will grow through the community again. There will be loads of house calls and parties over Christmas. People meet a lot more relatives and friends at Christmas that they might not see all year round. Cases jumped from less than 500 a day in early October to more than a 1000 on average a day 2 weeks later. 1,000 a day by mid January might be very conservative actually. At the end of this 6 weeks I cant see even the bedwetters having too much appetite for this continuous cycle of lockdowns to continue. We are just kicking the can down the road. What do you think will happen?
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Why arenât we learning to live with COVID-19?
The government and nphet new well we would swallow any auld bullshit when they wouldnât allowed a crowd of 500 out doors at a gaa game. That was the start of the insanity.
yeah thatâs exponential growth. Doubling every 2 weeks.
The thing with exponential growth is there is also exponential decline. I expect the numbers to be back to really low numbers by the 6 week timeframe, if itâs reducing by half every 2 weeks it will be back to low numbers, then weâll get the r rate manageable.
Itâs about compliance then. People are blaming NPHET, but we had a go at level 2 and didnât comply and it didnât work. It isnât all a one way street Johnny. If we can manage the virus at level 2 with compliance we shouldnât need to have more lockdowns
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